The Rise of Prediction Markets Part 2
Derivatives, Commodities, or Gambling? The Regulatory Crossroads Ahead From Signal to Scrutiny In Part 1, we looked at why prediction markets have captured so much
This week, the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) announced the hiring of Hui Chen as a “full-time compliance expert”. In this role, Ms. Chen will be tasked with assessing the compliance programs of companies under DOJ investigation. This information will aid prosecutors weighing criminal charges of companies and individuals, including any remedial compliance measures. As you may recall, Ripple agreed to resolve a DOJ criminal investigation in exchange for a settlement agreement which called for a lengthy series of remedial compliance measures.
According to the DOJ, the hiring of Ms. Chen serves to indicate how serious the Justice Department is taking compliance. (As if the bitcoin community needed a reminder.) Officials, however, were quick to emphasize that a compliance program review is but one of several factors prosecutors will consider. This makes sense. FinCEN, which regulates bitcoin MSBs and conducted the parallel civil enforcement investigation of Ripple, considers multiple factors, including the violations themselves (i.e. volume, severity, time period, etc.); any corrective action undertaken by the institution; self-reporting efforts; level of cooperation with regulators; and, any past history of regulatory exams and prior violations.
It’s unlikely any of these individual factors will be cast aside anytime soon. However, the DOJ has signaled its intention to scrutinize how seriously companies take their compliance obligations, and to what degree the circumstances in which they find themselves are of their own making. Ms. Chen will, in the words of the DOJ, determine whether a company’s compliance program is “thoughtfully designed and sufficiently resourced, or essentially window dressing”. Now might be a good time to ask yourself which description applies to your compliance program.
Derivatives, Commodities, or Gambling? The Regulatory Crossroads Ahead From Signal to Scrutiny In Part 1, we looked at why prediction markets have captured so much
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